Labour’s Wobble

As the PM programme proclaimed yesterday afternoon the technical term for what is going on in the Labour Party is a ‘wobble’. There is no formal leadership challenge, it’s not an organised coup. However, in the last 24 hours there have been significant criticism on Miliband’s leadership and significant grumbling that he is leading them to electoral defeat.

However with only six months until the election and no natural successor ultimately Labour have few alternatives but to stick with his leadership even if it is flawed.

This piece in the Independent looks at the machinations of what has been taking place within the Parliamentary Labour Party (PLP)–rumours-of-labour-backbench-revolt-9844525.html

Ed Miliband’s personal opinion poll ratings are not good they are worse than Callaghan in 1979, Kinnock in 1992 and Major in 1997.

Analysis of IpsosMORI polling dating back to 1977 by MailOnline shows how only Michael Foot had worse personal satisfaction ratings than Ed Miliband six months before a general election This combined with This combined with recent news about an SNP surge in Scotland suggest that Labour may struggle to win a majority even with the coalition struggling for popularity. Many Labour MPs feel they will loose votes to UKIP and the Greens- the changing party system is making the electoral reality more complex than a straight fight between Labour and the Conservatives. However, while they are worried about challenges from UKIP and the Greens many Labour MPs don’t seem to realise that we are no longer living in an era of pendulum politics- e.g. when one major party is unpopular the other profits from it. The current picture is more complication, just because Cameron and Osborne are unpopular the electorate no longer feels that there is only one alternative.

This piece in the Telegraph urges Mililband to resign, suggesting that any of the alternatives- Burnham, Cooper or Johnson would fair better in next May’s election

This summary from the New Statesman provides an interesting look at Labour’s current policies and ideology and why they are not inspiring the electorate.


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